A new FRAX model for Brazil.

Fracture probabilities derived from the original FRAX model for Brazil were compared to those from an updated model based on more recent regional estimates of the incidence of hip fracture. Fracture probabilities were consistently lower in the updated FRAX model. Despite large differences between models, differences in the rank order of fracture probabilities were minimal. OBJECTIVE: Recent epidemiological data indicate that the risk of hip fracture in Brazil is lower than that used to create the original FRAX model. This paper describes the epidemiology of hip fracture in Brazil and the synthesis of an updated FRAX model with the aim of comparing this new model with the original model. METHODS: Hip fracture rates from three cities in three regions were combined, weighted by the population of each region. For other major fractures, incidence rates for Brazil were estimated using Swedish ratios for hip to other major osteoporotic fracture (humerus, forearm or clinical vertebral fractures). Mortality estimates were taken from the UN. RESULTS: Compared to the original FRAX model, the updated model gave lower 10-year fracture probabilities in men and women at all ages. Notwithstanding, there was a very close correlation in fracture probabilities between the original and updated models (r > 0.99) so that the revisions had little impact on the rank order of risk. CONCLUSION: The disparities between the original and updated FRAX models indicate the importance of updating country-specific FRAX models with the advent of significant changes in fracture epidemiology.

Fat, adipokines, bone structure and bone regulatory factors associations in obesity.

Context: Obese (OB) adults (BMI ≥ 30) have a higher bone mineral density (BMD) and more favourable bone microarchitecture than normal-weight (NW) adults (BMI 18.5-24.9). Objective: The objective of this study was to identify which fat compartments have the strongest association with bone density and bone turnover and whether biochemical factors (adipokines, hormones and bone regulators) are likely to be important mediators of the effect of obesity on bone. Design: This was a cross-sectional, observational, matched case-control study. Setting: Participants were recruited from the local community. Participants: Two hundred healthy men and women aged 25-40 or 55-75 were recruited in individually matched OB and NW pairs. Body composition, BMD and bone microarchitecture were determined by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), computed tomography (CT) and high-resolution peripheral CT (HR-pQCT). Bone turnover and potential regulators such as C-terminal cross-linking telopeptide (CTX), type 1 procollagen N-terminal peptide (PINP), sclerostin, periostin, parathyroid hormone (PTH), 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD), insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), adiponectin, leptin and insulin were assessed. Main outcome: Planned exploratory analysis of the relationships between fat compartments, areal and volumetric BMD, bone microarchitecture, bone turnover markers and bone regulators. Results: Compared with NW, OB had lower CTX, PINP, adiponectin, IGF1, and 25OHD and higher leptin, PTH and insulin (all P < 0.05). CTX and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) were the bone marker and fat compartment most consistently associated with areal and volumetric BMD. In regression models, SAT was negatively associated with CTX (P < 0.001). When leptin was added to the model, SAT was no longer associated with CTX, but leptin (P < 0.05) was negatively associated with CTX. Conclusions: SAT is associated with lower bone resorption and properties favourable for bone strength in obesity. Leptin may be an important mediator of the effects of SAT on the skeleton.

Discordant pattern of peripheral fractures in diabetes: a meta-analysis on the risk of wrist and ankle fractures.

To clarify if the peripheral microarchitectural abnormalities described in diabetics have clinical consequences, we evaluated the risk of wrist and ankle fractures. The meta-analysis resulted in an increase in the risk of ankle fractures and a decrease in wrist fractures risk, suggesting that microarchitecture may not be the major fracture determinant. INTRODUCTION: There is evidence for an increase in the risk of hip fractures in diabetes (both in type 1 and 2), but the risk is not established for other skeletal sites. Microarchitecture evaluations have reported a decrease in volumetric bone mineral density and an increase in cortical porosity at the radius and tibia. To investigate if there is a clinical consequence for these microarchitectural abnormalities, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on the risk of ankle and wrist fractures in diabetes. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched using the terms 'diabetes mellitus', 'fracture', 'ankle', 'radius' and 'wrist'. Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using random effects model. RESULTS: For ankle fractures, six studies were selected including 2,137,223 participants and 15,395 fractures. For wrist fractures, 10 studies were eligible with 2,773,222 subjects and 39,738 fractures. The studies included men and women, ages 20 to 109 years for the wrist and 27 to 109 years for the ankle. The vast majority of subjects had type 2 diabetes. Diabetes was associated with an increase in the risk of ankle fractures (RR 1.30 95%CI 1.15-1.48) and a decrease in wrist fractures (RR 0.85 95%CI 0.77-0.95). In the studies that reported body mass index (BMI), the mean values were 10% higher in the diabetic groups than controls. CONCLUSION: The risk of fractures is increased in diabetes at the ankle and decreased at the wrist. The same pattern is observed in obesity. Although bone microarchitectural features are different in obesity and diabetes, the epidemiology of peripheral fractures is similar in both diseases suggesting that microarchitecture may not be the major determinant of peripheral fractures in these populations.